It looks like my 200,000 bah humbug prediction might be too low, and my earlier prediction of 175,000 for turnout more accurate. At the 175,000 level, I predicted a big advantage for Parker.
The precincts I'm tracking for Annise Parker are turning out very well. Not clear to me if the African American precincts turned out big today - does not look like it from the 10 or so I'm tracking.
Lots of volunteers today at Parker HQ. What did you see at the other HQ?
I'm hearing District A has been big all day.
I'm tracking 2003 Election Day numbers vs. 2007 Election Day numbers. Certainly in some Heights and Montrose precincts, the turnout has already surpassed 2007.
There was a steady increase all day with 5:30 numbers not showing a big uptick in the precincts I'm tracking.
Go to harrisvotes.com to track election day returns! Early voting results should pop up right after 7 PM.
What I don't know: Where is Brown expected to do well and how are those boxes turning out? I have very little District G data. How is that going and who are they voting for?!
UPDATE: Just now seeing some District G numbers for EDay. It looks like they are beating 2007 numbers. Nobody is anywhere near 2003 numbers, so beating 2007 appears to be the bar for high turnout.
0 comments:
Post a Comment